Discussion in 'Probability and Statistics' started by poopick, Feb 19, 2022.

1. ### poopick

Joined:
Feb 19, 2022
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if you google baccarat odds you will get
a player = 0.446 banker = 0.458 and tie = 0.096
a bet on the player is 1:1 odds on the banker is 95:100
my question is my strategy is good or am i missing something it goas like this:
you always bet on the player the basic bet is x and if you lose once you bet 2x lose twice bet 4x lose 3 times reset to 1x
you also reset when winning and if there is a tie keep the bet size the same
the formula is 0.446 * x + 0.458 * 0.446 * x + 0.458 * 0.458 * 0.446 * x - 0.458 * 0.458 * 0.458 * 7x = 0.07131936
also little cleaner 0.446 * x + 0.458 * 0.446 * x + 0.458 ^ 2 * 0.446 * x - 0.458 ^ 3 * 7x = 0.07131936
each time i am winning i win 1x (2x - x or 4x - 3) and if i lose all 3 times i lose 7x (1 + 2 +4)
i am ignoring tie because i will multiply them by 0
i really feel that the casino wont let a strategy like this exist can someone confirm or deny that logic before i loose al my money

Last edited: Feb 19, 2022
poopick, Feb 19, 2022

Joined:
Dec 15, 2021
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