- Joined
- Jun 27, 2021
- Messages
- 5,386
- Reaction score
- 422
P(r is chosen)
- Thread starter nycmathguy
- Start date
- Joined
- Jun 27, 2021
- Messages
- 2,989
- Reaction score
- 2,884
correct
- Joined
- Jun 27, 2021
- Messages
- 5,386
- Reaction score
- 422
A basic review of probability.
There is a severe problem with probability.
Probability, says nothing about any given event (x) happening, or not happening. It is only the CHANCE that it will, or will not.
For example.
I might have a 99 percent chance x will happen, yet it does not.
I might have a 1 percent chance x will happen, and it does.
Theoretically I can even have 100 percent chance x happens, and it does not. (consider the weather).
Theoretically I can have 0 percent chance x happens, and it does.
In this last cast consider the question. "What is the chance I am going to die today?". A doctor looks at me, tells me I am perfectly healthy. Yet on my way home I am struck by lightning.
Probability is a flawed concept. In the same way as measuring in the quantum world is a flawed concept.
Probability, says nothing about any given event (x) happening, or not happening. It is only the CHANCE that it will, or will not.
For example.
I might have a 99 percent chance x will happen, yet it does not.
I might have a 1 percent chance x will happen, and it does.
Theoretically I can even have 100 percent chance x happens, and it does not. (consider the weather).
Theoretically I can have 0 percent chance x happens, and it does.
In this last cast consider the question. "What is the chance I am going to die today?". A doctor looks at me, tells me I am perfectly healthy. Yet on my way home I am struck by lightning.
Probability is a flawed concept. In the same way as measuring in the quantum world is a flawed concept.
The question is not asking you if there is a flaw with probability. Stay on the topic at hand. You want to convert an easy probability question to a distance between two unknown planets. Jesus!!!
